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Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study.
Zhao, Kedong; Long, Cheng; Wang, Yan; Zeng, Tieyong; Fu, Xinmiao.
  • Zhao K; Provincial University Key Laboratory of Cellular Stress Response and Metabolic Regulation, College of Life Sciences, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou, Fujian 350117, China.
  • Long C; Department of Orthopaedic, Sichuan University West China Hospital, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China.
  • Wang Y; Provincial University Key Laboratory of Cellular Stress Response and Metabolic Regulation, College of Life Sciences, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou, Fujian 350117, China.
  • Zeng T; Department of Mathematics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
  • Fu X; Provincial University Key Laboratory of Cellular Stress Response and Metabolic Regulation, College of Life Sciences, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou, Fujian 350117, China.
J Public Health (Oxf) ; 42(3): 651-652, 2020 Aug 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-17530
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ABSTRACT
The COVID-19 outbreak in China appears to reach the late stage since late March 2020, and a stepwise restoration of economic operations is implemented. Risk assessment for such economic restoration is of significance. Here, we estimated the probability of COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in typical provinces/cities and found that such probability is very limited (<5% for all the regions except Beijing). Our work may inform provincial governments to make risk level-based, differentiated control measures.
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Full text: Available Collection: International databases Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Pneumonia, Viral / Disease Outbreaks / Probability / Coronavirus Infections / Risk Assessment / Return to Work Type of study: Observational study / Prognostic study Limits: Adult / Female / Humans / Male / Middle aged Country/Region as subject: Asia Language: English Journal: J Public Health (Oxf) Year: 2020 Document Type: Article Affiliation country: Pubmed

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Full text: Available Collection: International databases Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Pneumonia, Viral / Disease Outbreaks / Probability / Coronavirus Infections / Risk Assessment / Return to Work Type of study: Observational study / Prognostic study Limits: Adult / Female / Humans / Male / Middle aged Country/Region as subject: Asia Language: English Journal: J Public Health (Oxf) Year: 2020 Document Type: Article Affiliation country: Pubmed