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The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic.
Ganslmeier, Michael; Furceri, Davide; Ostry, Jonathan D.
  • Ganslmeier M; University of Oxford, 32 Wellington Square, Oxford, OX1 2ER, UK. michael.ganslmeier@spi.ox.ac.uk.
  • Furceri D; International Monetary Fund, University of Palermo, RCEA, 1900 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC, 20431, USA.
  • Ostry JD; International Monetary Fund, CEPR, 1900 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC, 20431, USA.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 22027, 2021 11 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1758313
ABSTRACT
Rising temperature levels during spring and summer are often argued to enable lifting of strict containment measures even in the absence of herd immunity. Despite broad scholarly interest in the relationship between weather and coronavirus spread, previous studies come to very mixed results. To contribute to this puzzle, the paper examines the impact of weather on the COVID-19 pandemic using a unique granular dataset of over 1.2 million daily observations covering over 3700 counties in nine countries for all seasons of 2020. Our results show that temperature and wind speed have a robust negative effect on virus spread after controlling for a range of potential confounding factors. These effects, however, are substantially larger during mealtimes, as well as in periods of high mobility and low containment, suggesting an important role for social behaviour.
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Full text: Available Collection: International databases Database: MEDLINE Main subject: COVID-19 Type of study: Experimental Studies / Observational study / Prognostic study Limits: Humans Language: English Journal: Sci Rep Year: 2021 Document Type: Article Affiliation country: S41598-021-01189-3

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Full text: Available Collection: International databases Database: MEDLINE Main subject: COVID-19 Type of study: Experimental Studies / Observational study / Prognostic study Limits: Humans Language: English Journal: Sci Rep Year: 2021 Document Type: Article Affiliation country: S41598-021-01189-3