Simulating Delay in Seeking Treatment for Stroke Due to COVID-19 Concerns with a Hybrid Agent-Based and Equation-Based Model

ABSTRACT

COVID-19 has caused strain on healthcare systems worldwide and concern within the population over this strain and the chances of becoming infected has reduced the likelihood of people seeking medical treatment for other health events. Stroke is a medical emergency and swift treatment can make a difference in outcomes. Understanding how concern over the COVID-19 pandemic impacts the time delay in seeking treatment after a stroke can help understand both the long-term cost implications and how to target individuals to remind them of the importance of seeking treatment. We present an agent-based model to simulate the delay in seeking treatment for stroke due to concerns over COVID-19 and show that small changes in behaviour impact the average delay in seeking treatment. We find that introducing control measures and having multiple smaller peaks of the pandemic results in less delay in seeking treatment compared to a scenario with one large peak. © 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.