Analysis of Factors Influencing the COVID-19 Mortality Rate in Indonesia using Zero Inflated Negative Binomial Model

ABSTRACT

This research aims to create a model, analyze the factors that influence the COVID-19 mortality rate in Indonesia. There are five independent variables and one dependent variable used in the research. The independent variables used are the percentage of poor people, the percentage of households using shared toilet facilities, the percentage of households using wood as the main fuel for cooking, the percentage of the population whose drinking water source comes from pumped water and the percentage of population who have health insurance from private insurance. While the dependent variable used is the Annual Parasite incidence COVID-19. The results obtained are as follows. First, a Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial regression model was obtained for the case of COVID-19 morbidity where this model could overcome overdispersion and excess zero values in observations. Second, there are 4 independent variables that have a significant effect on the count model and there is no independent variable that has a significant effect on the Zero inflation model. Third, a web application is produced that can display the Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial regression model (ZINB). © 2022. All Rights Reserved.