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Transmission dynamics model and the coronavirus disease 2019 epidemic: applications and challenges.
Guan, Jinxing; Zhao, Yang; Wei, Yongyue; Shen, Sipeng; You, Dongfang; Zhang, Ruyang; Lange, Theis; Chen, Feng.
  • Guan J; Departments of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
  • Zhao Y; Departments of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
  • Wei Y; China International Cooperation Center for Environment and Human Health, Center for Global Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
  • Shen S; Center of Biomedical BigData, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
  • You D; Departments of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
  • Zhang R; China International Cooperation Center for Environment and Human Health, Center for Global Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
  • Lange T; Departments of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
  • Chen F; Departments of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Med Rev (Berl) ; 2(1): 89-109, 2022 Feb 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1879339
ABSTRACT
Since late 2019, the beginning of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, transmission dynamics models have achieved great development and were widely used in predicting and policy making. Here, we provided an introduction to the history of disease transmission, summarized transmission dynamics models into three main types compartment extension, parameter extension and population-stratified extension models, highlight the key contribution of transmission dynamics models in COVID-19 pandemic estimating epidemiological parameters, predicting the future trend, evaluating the effectiveness of control measures and exploring different possibilities/scenarios. Finally, we pointed out the limitations and challenges lie ahead of transmission dynamics models.
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Full text: Available Collection: International databases Database: MEDLINE Type of study: Experimental Studies / Prognostic study Language: English Journal: Med Rev (Berl) Year: 2022 Document Type: Article Affiliation country: Mr-2021-0022

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Full text: Available Collection: International databases Database: MEDLINE Type of study: Experimental Studies / Prognostic study Language: English Journal: Med Rev (Berl) Year: 2022 Document Type: Article Affiliation country: Mr-2021-0022