Delays, Masks, the Elderly, and Schools: First Covid-19 Wave in the Czech Republic.
Bull Math Biol
; 84(8): 75, 2022 06 20.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1899295
ABSTRACT
Running across the globe for nearly 2 years, the Covid-19 pandemic keeps demonstrating its strength. Despite a lot of understanding, uncertainty regarding the efficiency of interventions still persists. We developed an age-structured epidemic model parameterized with epidemiological and sociological data for the first Covid-19 wave in the Czech Republic and found that (1) starting the spring 2020 lockdown 4 days earlier might prevent half of the confirmed cases by the end of lockdown period, (2) personal protective measures such as face masks appear more effective than just a realized reduction in social contacts, (3) the strategy of sheltering just the elderly is not at all effective, and (4) leaving schools open is a risky strategy. Despite vaccination programs, evidence-based choice and timing of non-pharmaceutical interventions remains an effective weapon against the Covid-19 pandemic.
Keywords
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
COVID-19
/
Masks
Type of study:
Observational study
/
Prognostic study
Topics:
Vaccines
Limits:
Aged
/
Humans
Country/Region as subject:
Europa
Language:
English
Journal:
Bull Math Biol
Year:
2022
Document Type:
Article
Affiliation country:
S11538-022-01031-5
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