Trends in COVID-19: Incidence, mortality, and case fatality in Iraq.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To detect the epidemiological trend of coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) in Iraq, the distribution of cases by age, gender, and governorates, and to assess its burden on the health system by estimating morbidity and mortality rates. METHODS: This biometric study was carried out in 2021. The distribution, incidence, mortality, and case fatality rates in a 17-month period was sketched in a biometric design. A semi-structured questionnaire was distributed to a number of decision makers in the Ministry of Health regarding health system challenges that have been faced during this pandemic. RESULTS: More than half (55.1%) of the cases were among males, and 67.5% were in the age group 30-60 years. Mortality was also predominant among males (62.7%), and 50.0% of the deaths were in the age group >50 years. The predominant age group for both genders was 30-60 years. Case fatality rate was 1.2%; again higher among males (1.3% versus 1.1%). CONCLUSION: The trend of COVID-19 in Iraq showed 2 peaks, August-October 2020 and March-July 2021, with males being more affected by morbidity, mortality, and fatality. The main challenge faced by the Iraqi health system was the rapid increase of COVID-19 cases with limited bed capacity and medical equipment.