Macroeconomic trends in public healthcare and risk management in the period to 2025

ABSTRACT

Healthcare, economic and social crises deepened globally and in Bulgaria as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic. Questions about the future of public healthcare have become relevant for public health managers, who often have to work with inadequate financial resources in an environment of increasing expectations from society. What risks lay ahead? Are there macroeconomic foundations to solve these profound problems or will they deepen in the period 2022 to 2025? Would it be prudent to raise debt levels in Bulgaria to the brink of bankruptcy? Would it be necessary to raise taxes for employees, including medical personnel, to overcome the crises? The purpose of the current article is to analyse the macroeconomic environment and key financial indicators in Bulgaria and the EU, and use the analysis to propose risk management strategies to increase healthcare funds in an unprecedented demographic crisis without raising debt and government taxation.