Spatio-temporal distribution pattern of COVID-19 in the Northern Italy during the first-wave scenario: The role of the highway network.
Transp Res Interdiscip Perspect
; 15: 100646, 2022 Sep.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1907840
ABSTRACT
Background:
The rapid outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has posed several challenges to the scientific community. The goal of this paper is to investigate the spread of COVID-19 in Northern Italy during the so-called first wave scenario and to provide a qualitative comparison with the local highway net.Methods:
Fixed a grid of days from February 27, 2020, the cumulative numbers of infections in each considered province have been compared to sequences of thresholds. As a consequence, a time-evolving classification of the state of danger in terms of Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections, in view of the smallest threshold overtaken by this comparison, has been obtained for each considered province. The provinces with a significant amount of cases have then been collected into matrices containing only the ones featuring a significant amount of cases.Results:
The time evolution of the classification has then been qualitatively compared to the highway network, to identify similarities and thus linking the rapid spreading of COVID-19 and the highway connections.Conclusions:
The obtained results demonstrate how the proposed model properly fits with the spread of COVID-19 along with the Italian highway transport network and could be implemented to analyze qualitatively other disease transmissions in different contexts and time periods.
A27, Italian highway from Venezia to Pian di Vedoia; A4, Italian highway from Torino to Trieste; A6, Italian highway from Torino to Savona; A7, Italian highway from Milano to Genova; BG, Province of Bergamo; BR, Province of Brescia; COVID-19; COVID-19, Coronavirus disease 2019; CR, Province of Cremona; Disease outbreak scenarios; E35, European route from Amsterdam to Rome; E45, European route from Alta to Gela; E55, European route from Helsingborg to Kalamáta; E70, European route from Coruña to Poti; GO, Province of Gorizia; Highway; LO, Province of Lodi; MI, Province of Milano; PC, Province of Piacenza; PD, Province of Padova; PR, Province of Parma; PV, Province of Pavia; RO, Province of Rovigo; SARS-CoV-2; SARS-CoV-2, Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; SS9, Via Emilia; Spatial epidemiology; TO, Province of Torino; TR, Province of Treviso
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Type of study:
Qualitative research
Language:
English
Journal:
Transp Res Interdiscip Perspect
Year:
2022
Document Type:
Article
Affiliation country:
J.trip.2022.100646
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