PARENT AND CHILD MENTAL HEALTH TRAJECTORIES APRIL- OCTOBER 2020: STRICT LOCKDOWN VS NO LOCKDOWN IN AUSTRALIA

ABSTRACT

Background: To control a second wave of COVID-19 outbreak, the state of Victoria in Australia experienced one of the world's first long and strict lockdowns over July-October 2020, while the rest of Australia experienced 'COVID-normal' with minimal restrictions. Objectives: To (1) investigate trajectories of parent/child MH outcomes in Victoria vs non-Victoria and (2) identify baseline demographic, individual and factors related to COVID-19 associated with MH trajectories. Methods: An online community sample of 2004 Australian parents of a child aged 0-18 years with rapid repeated assessment over 14 time points from April 2020 to May 2021. Measures assessed parent MH (Depression, Anxiety and Stress Scales-21), child depression symptoms (13-item Short Mood and Feelings Questionnaire) and child anxiety symptoms (4 items from the Brief Spence Children's Anxiety Scale). Findings: MH trajectories shadowed COVID-19 infection rates. Victorians reported a peak in MH symptoms at the time of the second-wave lockdown compared to other states. Key baseline predictors, including parent and child loneliness (standardised regression coefficient (β) = 0.09- 0.46), parent/child diagnoses (β = 0.07-0.21), couple conflict (β = 0.07-0.18), and COVID-19 stressors, such as worry/concern about COVID-19, illness and loss of job (β = 0.12-0.15)), predicted elevated trajectories. Conclusion: Our findings provide evidence of worse trajectories of parent and child MH symptoms associated with a second COVID-19 outbreak involving strict lockdown in Victoria, compared to non-locked states in Australia. We identified several baseline factors that may be useful in detecting high-risk families who are likely to require additional support early in future lockdowns.