Residents' Travel Mode Choice Behavior in Post-COVID-19 era Considering Preference Differences

ABSTRACT

In order to explore the choice behavior of residents' travel mode in the post-COVID-19 era, a choice behavior experiment was conducted. A mixed Logit model and a latent class conditional Logit model of travel mode choice were constructed based on the data obtained from questionnaire surveys. Stata software was used to calibrate the model parameters, and the main factors influencing residents' travel mode choices were obtained. The results show that both models reflect the heterogeneity of individual travel mode choices. Compared with the mixed Logit model, the latent class conditional Logit model has an improvement of 13% in the goodness of fit and an increase of 3.03% in the prediction accuracy, which provides an effective tool for analyzing individual heterogeneity of travel behavior under public health emergencies. The latent class conditional Logit model divides residents into four and five groups according to the two scenarios of low and medium risk areas. From the perspective of travel mode attributes, the waiting time and the traveling time have become the most important influencing factors for residents to choose the travel modes. From the perspective of personal socio-economic attributes, women with higher incomes are more inclined to choose private cars to travel. The older are more sensitive to travel costs, and men are more willing to choose bus and subway travel. Copyright © 2022 by Science Press.