Evaluation of priority strategies for the expansion of installed wind power capacity in Turkey using a fuzzy analytic network process analysis

ABSTRACT

Given its widespread potential and technological advancements, it is critical to use the greatest amount of wind power in reaching the 100% renewable energy target in power grids. SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats) analysis is frequently used to evaluate alternative strategies in multi-criteria decision issues. This paper employs a hybrid Fuzzy Analytic Network Process (FANP) approach based on SWOT to assess the future development of wind power capacities in Turkey in light of the sectoral effects of the Covid-19 outbreak in 2020. To validate the proposed approach, the results are compared to the results of the SWOT-based Analytic Network Process (ANP), Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), and fuzzy AHP (FAHP). According to the findings, “Development of domestic and efficient technologies (ST1)" and “Sustaining support mechanisms in investments and technological research (SO2)" are the best alternative strategies in all analysis models. While the priority ranks of other alternative strategies are the same in AHP and FAHP hierarchical techniques, FANP differs from ANP when the linguistic assessment process is taken into account. This study proposes long-term strategies for increasing wind power capacity and sector sustainability, and it demonstrates that FANP could be an appropriate approach for prioritizing these strategies in current scenarios.