Estimating number of cases and spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using critical care admissions, United Kingdom, February to March 2020.
Euro Surveill
; 25(18)2020 05.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-196998
ABSTRACT
An exponential growth model was fitted to critical care admissions from two surveillance databases to determine likely coronavirus disease (COVID-19) case numbers, critical care admissions and epidemic growth in the United Kingdom before the national lockdown. We estimate, on 23 March, a median of 114,000 (95% credible interval (CrI) 78,000-173,000) new cases and 258 (95% CrI 220-319) new critical care reports, with 527,000 (95% CrI 362,000-797,000) cumulative cases since 16 February.
Keywords
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Patient Admission
/
Pneumonia, Viral
/
Coronavirus Infections
/
Coronavirus
/
Disease Notification
/
Critical Care
/
Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
Type of study:
Diagnostic study
/
Observational study
/
Prognostic study
Limits:
Female
/
Humans
/
Male
Country/Region as subject:
Europa
Language:
English
Journal subject:
Communicable Diseases
Year:
2020
Document Type:
Article
Affiliation country:
1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000632
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