Seasonality of SARS-CoV-2 Infections in G20 Countries: Ecological Analysis of Publicly Available Data.

ABSTRACT

Previous laboratory studies of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) revealed that the stability of the virus in the air or on surfaces is sensitive to seasonally relevant environmental conditions. However, the seasonality of the virus in the real world remains unclear because each country adopted various infection control policies. Therefore, we investigated peak dates with regard to new confirmed cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and an association of these dates with the timing of the lockdown among G20 countries that have four seasons from 1 June 2020 to 18 February 2021. As a result, countries in both hemispheres experienced seasonal peaks in the number of COVID-19 cases both in the middle of warm and cold seasons. In addition, there were no apparent relationships between the peak date and periods with stringent measures. Our study demonstrated that SARS-CoV-2 causes seasonal outbreaks in the winter and possibly summer and thus, countries might need to consider measures to prepare for resurgence of the virus in the middle of 2021.