Is COVID-19 Infection Associated With the Progression of Kidney Disease? Findings From a Population Based Observational Study From British Columbia, Canada

ABSTRACT

Background: Recent research suggests that COVID-19 infection is associated with acute kidney injury (AKI). Together the inflammation caused by the virus in the kidneys and the episodes of AKIs are risk factors for progression of kidney diseases. We investigated the risk of progression to kidney failure among chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients from BC, Canada who were infected with COVID-19. Method(s) In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed a cohort of 22,188 nondialysis CKD patients aged >=18 years, with no prior history of ESKD and COVID-19 infection before the cohort entry date between January 27, 2020 & December 15, 2021. The cohort was derived from Patient Records and Outcome Management Information System (PROMIS), a population based integrated registry database for CKD patients under the nephrologist care in BC. Incident COVID-19 cases were iteratively matched without replacement to non-COVID-19 controls (13 ratio) based on age, sex, region of residency, diabetes status, eGFR and urine ACR, CKD vintage and COVID-19 vaccination status as of COVID-19 diagnosis date. The primary outcome was a composite of initiation of maintenance dialysis defined by dialysis performed for >=4 weeks, a sustained decline in eGFR defined by >=40% decline from baseline that sustained over >=4 weeks or incident kidney transplantation. Estimated HR and 95% CI using Fine and Gray subdistribution hazard model to account for death as a competing risk. Result(s) The analytic data included 1,708 patients, 475 (28%) COVID-19 cases and 1,233 (72%) non-COVID-19 controls. Median age was 71 years, 53% was male. Median follow-up was 8.3 months, 70 (4.10%) patients progressed to kidney failure. Among the non-dialysis CKD patients, the risk of developing kidney failure in COVID-19 infected cases was 24% higher compared to matched, non-COVID-19 infected controls. The HR (95% CI) was 1.24 (0.75, 2.06) (p-value 0.39). Conclusion(s) COVID-19 infection in non-dialysis CKD patients appeared to be associated with higher risk of progression to kidney failure. Although not statistically significant, the substantial increase in risk estimate warrants close monitoring of kidney function among CKD patients after COVID-19 infection.