School’s Out? Simulating Schooling Strategies During COVID-19

ABSTRACT

Multi-agent based systems offer the possibility to examine the effects of policies down to specific target groups while also considering the effects on a population-level scale. To examine the impact of different schooling strategies, an agent-based model is used in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic using a German city as an example. The simulation experiments show that reducing the class size by rotating weekly between in-person classes and online schooling is effective at preventing infections while driving up the detection rate among children through testing during weeks of in-person attendance. While open schools lead to higher infection rates, a surprising result of this study is that school rotation is almost as effective at lowering infections among both the student population and the general population as closing schools. Due to the continued testing of attending students, the overall infections in the general population are even lower in a school rotation scenario, showcasing the potential for emergent behaviors in agent-based models. © 2022, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.