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Fine-Grained Prediction and Control of Covid-19 Pandemic in a City: Application to Post-Initial Stages
24th International Conference on Principles and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems, PRIMA 2020 ; 13753 LNAI:314-330, 2023.
Article in English | Scopus | ID: covidwho-2148644
ABSTRACT
Predicting the evolution of the Covid-19 pandemic during its early phases was relatively easy as its dynamics were governed by few influencing factors that included a single dominant virus variant and the demographic characteristics of a given area. Several models based on a wide variety of techniques were developed for this purpose. Their prediction accuracy started deteriorating as the number of influencing factors and their interrelationships grew over time. With the pandemic evolving in a highly heterogeneous way across individual countries, states, and even individual cities, there emerged a need for a contextual and fine-grained understanding of the pandemic to come up with effective means of pandemic control. This paper presents a fine-grained model for predicting and controlling Covid-19 in a large city. Our approach borrows ideas from complex adaptive system-of-systems paradigm and adopts a concept of agent as the core modeling ion. © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.
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Full text: Available Collection: Databases of international organizations Database: Scopus Type of study: Prognostic study Language: English Journal: 24th International Conference on Principles and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems, PRIMA 2020 Year: 2023 Document Type: Article

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Full text: Available Collection: Databases of international organizations Database: Scopus Type of study: Prognostic study Language: English Journal: 24th International Conference on Principles and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems, PRIMA 2020 Year: 2023 Document Type: Article