Correlates of Omicron SARS-CoV-2 viral load: diagnostic and clinical implications

ABSTRACT

Background. Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infections are associated with less frequent olfactory sensory loss and a predominance of pharyngitis symptoms compared to prior variants, with proposed diagnostic implications. We examined whether such symptomology predicts a higher RNA abundance in the oropharynx. We further investigated how age, symptom-day, vaccination history and clinical severity correlate with viral load to inform clinical prognostication and transmission modeling. Methods. The EPICC study is a longitudinal cohort of COVID-19 cases enrolled through U.S military medical treatment facilities. Demographic and clinical characteristics were measured with interviews and surveys. Nasopharyngeal (NP), oropharyngeal (OP) and nasal swabs (NS) were collected for SARS-CoV-2 qPCR and sequence genotyping. Multivariable linear regression models were fit to estimate the effect of anatomical site on SARS-CoV-2 RNA abundance (a proxy for viral load), adjusting for sampling time, vaccine history and host age. Results. We analyzed 77 sequence-confirmed Omicron cases;no BA.2 cases were detected. The median age was 38.8 years. 81.8% were vaccinated and 15.6% cases were hospitalized. 80.0%, 21.8%, and 65.5% reported nasal congestion, loss of smell or taste, and sore throat, respectively. The median RNA abundance was lowest in OP swabs (p < 0.001) (Fig 1). Linear regression confirmed that OP sampling was associated with lower viral load (p < 0.001). We further noted that greater age and symptom-day were independent correlates of viral load (Table 1). By bivariate analysis there was a trend toward lower RNA abundance in vaccinated subjects (p = 0.35). RNA abundance (at any site) was substantially higher in hospitalized (10634 N2 genome equivalents [GE]/reaction) versus outpatient cases (1419 N1 GE/reaction) but this was not statistically significant (p = 0.26). Conclusion. We noted prevalent sore throat symptoms and infrequent sensory loss in Omicron cases. Despite this, viral load was highest in NP/NS collected swabs as has been noted in prior variants. We note an age correlation with RNA abundance, and provide a viral load decay rate which may be useful for transmission modeling. Vaccination and clinical severity may also correlate with Omicron viral load, as noted with prior SARS-CoV-2 variants.