The Local and Aggregated Impacts of Stay-at-Home Orders on State Level Unemployment Outcomes.

ABSTRACT

Initial research on the effect of pandemic related stay-at-home orders (SAHO) on subsequent US state unemployment rates found inconclusive results regarding the magnitude of the effect. This research helps to clarify the debate, finding that while own-state SAHOs affected unemployment outcomes, it was actually the national level of SAHO implementation across the country that had an even greater impact. While these results do not offer direct guidance on when or whether SAHOs should have been issued in any given state, they do help to clarify the impact of SAHOs on various measures of US unemployment. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1057/s41302-023-00243-4.