One-year mortality in COVID-19 is associated with patients' comorbidities rather than pneumonia severity

ABSTRACT

Background: In patients with pneumonia or ARDS who survived hospitalization, one-year mortality can affect up to one third of discharged patients. Therefore, significant long-term mortality after COVID-19 respiratory failure could be expected. The primary outcome of the present study was one-year all-cause mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Method(s) Observational study of COVID-19 patients hospitalized at Papa Giovanni XXIII Hospital (Bergamo, Italy), during the first pandemic wave. Result(s) A total of 1326 COVID-19 patients were hospitalized. Overall one-year mortality was 33.6% (N 446/1326), with the majority of deaths occurring during hospitalization (N=412, 92.4%). Thirty-four patients amongst the 914 discharged (3.7%) subsequentely died within one year. A third of these patients died for advanced cancer, while death without a cause other than COVID-19 was uncommon (8.8% of the overall post-discharge mortality). Inhospital late mortality (i.e. after 28 days of admission) interested a population with a lower age, and fewer comorbidities, more frequentely admitted in ICU. Independent predictors of post-discharge mortality were age over 65 years (HR 3.19;95% CI 1.28-7.96, p-value=0.013), presence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (HR 2.52;95% CI 1.09-5.83, p-value=0.031) or proxy of cardiovascular disease (HR 4.93;95% CI 1.45-16.75, pvalue=0.010), and presence of active cancer (HR 3.64;95% CI 1.50-8.84, p-value=0.004), but not pneumonia severity. Conclusion(s) One-year post-discharge mortality depends on underlying patients' comorbidities rather than COVID19 pneumonia severity per se. Awareness among physicians of predictors of post-discharge mortality might be helpful in structuring a follow-up program for discharged patients.