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MODELING AND SIMULATION FOR THE SPREAD OF COVID-19 IN AN INDIAN CITY: A CASE STUDY
2022 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2022 ; 2022-December:593-604, 2022.
Article in English | Scopus | ID: covidwho-2275595
ABSTRACT
We present a case study on modeling and predicting the course of Covid-19 in the Indian city of Pune. The results presented in this paper are concerned primarily with the wave of infections triggered by the Delta variant during the period between February and June 2021. Our work demonstrates the necessity for bringing together compartmental stock-and-flow and agent-based models and the limitations of each approach when used individually. Some of the work presented here was carried out in the process of advising the local city administration and reflects the challenges associated with employing these models in a real-world environment with its uncertainties and time pressures. Our experience, described in the paper, also highlights the risks associated with forecasting the course of an epidemic with evolving variants. © 2022 IEEE.
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Full text: Available Collection: Databases of international organizations Database: Scopus Type of study: Case report Language: English Journal: 2022 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2022 Year: 2022 Document Type: Article

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Full text: Available Collection: Databases of international organizations Database: Scopus Type of study: Case report Language: English Journal: 2022 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2022 Year: 2022 Document Type: Article