Could Earlier Availability of Boosters and Pediatric Vaccines Have Reduced Impact of COVID-19?
2022 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2022
; 2022-December:1092-1103, 2022.
Article
in English
| Scopus | ID: covidwho-2278782
ABSTRACT
The objective is to evaluate the impact of the earlier availability of COVID-19 vaccinations to children and boosters to adults in the face of the Delta and Omicron variants. We employed an agent-based stochastic network simulation model with a modified SEIR compartment model populated with demographic and census data for North Carolina. We found that earlier availability of childhood vaccines and earlier availability of adult boosters could have reduced the peak hospitalizations of the Delta wave by 10% and the Omicron wave by 42%, and could have reduced cumulative deaths by 9% by July 2022. When studied separately, we found that earlier childhood vaccinations reduce cumulative deaths by 2,611 more than earlier adult boosters. Therefore, the results of our simulation model suggest that the timing of childhood vaccination and booster efforts could have resulted in a reduced disease burden and that prioritizing childhood vaccinations would most effectively reduce disease spread. © 2022 IEEE.
Full text:
Available
Collection:
Databases of international organizations
Database:
Scopus
Type of study:
Experimental Studies
Topics:
Vaccines
Language:
English
Journal:
2022 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2022
Year:
2022
Document Type:
Article
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