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Estimated preventable COVID-19-associated deaths due to non-vaccination in the United States.
Jia, Katherine M; Hanage, William P; Lipsitch, Marc; Johnson, Amelia G; Amin, Avnika B; Ali, Akilah R; Scobie, Heather M; Swerdlow, David L.
  • Jia KM; Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA. kjia@g.harvard.edu.
  • Hanage WP; Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
  • Lipsitch M; Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
  • Johnson AG; COVID-19 Response Team, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
  • Amin AB; COVID-19 Response Team, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
  • Ali AR; Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.
  • Scobie HM; COVID-19 Response Team, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
  • Swerdlow DL; COVID-19 Response Team, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 2023 Apr 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2297178
ABSTRACT
While some studies have previously estimated lives saved by COVID-19 vaccination, we estimate how many deaths could have been averted by vaccination in the US but were not because of a failure to vaccinate. We used a simple method based on a nationally representative dataset to estimate the preventable deaths among unvaccinated individuals in the US from May 30, 2021 to September 3, 2022 adjusted for the effects of age and time. We estimated that at least 232,000 deaths could have been prevented among unvaccinated adults during the 15 months had they been vaccinated with at least a primary series. While uncertainties exist regarding the exact number of preventable deaths and more granular data are needed on other factors causing differences in death rates between the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups to inform these estimates, this method is a rapid assessment on vaccine-preventable deaths due to SARS-CoV-2 that has crucial public health implications. The same rapid method can be used for future public health emergencies.
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Full text: Available Collection: International databases Database: MEDLINE Type of study: Experimental Studies / Randomized controlled trials Topics: Vaccines Language: English Journal subject: Epidemiology Year: 2023 Document Type: Article Affiliation country: S10654-023-01006-3

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Full text: Available Collection: International databases Database: MEDLINE Type of study: Experimental Studies / Randomized controlled trials Topics: Vaccines Language: English Journal subject: Epidemiology Year: 2023 Document Type: Article Affiliation country: S10654-023-01006-3