Predictors of COVID-19 outcomes: Interplay of frailty, comorbidity, and age in COVID-19 prognosis.

ABSTRACT

Prior research has identified frailty, comorbidity, and age as predictors of outcomes for patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), including mortality. However, it remains unclear how these factors play different roles in COVID-19 prognosis. This study focused on correlations between frailty, comorbidity and age, and their correlations to discharge outcome and length-of-stay in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Clinical data was collected from 56 patients who were ≥50 years old and admitted from March 2020 to June 2020 primarily for COVID-19. Frailty Risk Score (FRS) and the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) were used for assessment of frailty and comorbidity burden, respectively. Age had significant positive correlation with FRS and CCI (P < .001, P < .001, respectively). There was also significant positive correlation between FRS and CCI (P < .001). For mortality, patients who died during their hospitalization had significantly higher FRS and CCI (P = .01 and P < .001, respectively) but were not significantly older than patients who did not. FRS, CCI, and age were all significantly associated when looking at overall adverse discharge outcome (transfer to other facility or death) (P < .001, P = .005, and P = .009, respectively). However, none of the 3 variables were significantly correlated with length-of-stay. Multivariate analysis showed FRS (P = .007) but not patient age (P = .967) was significantly associated with death. We find that frailty is associated with adverse outcomes from COVID-19 and supplants age in multivariable analysis. Frailty should be part of risk assessment of older adults with COVID-19.