An effect of temperature on the spread of COVID-19 in Qatar, Kuwait and other gulf countries. (Special issue on COVID.)
Kuwait Journal of Science
; (on)2021.
Article
in English
| GIM | ID: covidwho-2312160
ABSTRACT
Background:
COVID-19 has emerged as a serious pandemic that emerged during since the end of 2019. The dissemination and survival of coronaviruses have been demonstrated to be affected by ambient temperature in epidemiological and laboratory research. The goal of this investigation was to see if temperature plays a role in the infection produced by this novel coronavirus.Methods:
Between March 29, 2020, and September 29, 2020, daily confirmed cases and meteoro-logical parameters in many Gulf countries were collected. Using a generalized additive model, we investigated the nonlinear relationship between mean temperature and COVID-19 confirmed cases.. To further investigate the association, we employed a piecewise linear regression.Results:
According to the exposure-response curves, the association between mean temperature and COVID-19 cases was nearly linear in the window of 21 - 30C while it is almost flat beyond that window. When the number was below 21C (lag 0-14), each 1C increase was associated with a 4.861 percent (95 percent CI 3.209 - 6.513) increase in mean temperature (lag 0-14). Our sensitiv-ity analysis confirmed these conclusions.Conclusions:
Our findings show a positive linear association between mean temperature and the number of COVID-19 cases with a threshold of 21C. There is little evidence that COVID-19 case numbers would rise as the weather becomes colder, which has important consequences for making health strategy and decision.
coronavirus disease 2019; disease transmission; environmental temperature; epidemiology; human diseases; mathematical models; meteorological factors; public health; regression analysis; spread; viral diseases; weather; man; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; Kuwait; Middle East; North Africa; Persian Gulf States; Qatar; high income countries; West Asia; Asia; very high Human Development Index countries; Homo; Hominidae; primates; mammals; vertebrates; Chordata; animals; eukaryotes; Africa; Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus; Betacoronavirus; Coronavirinae; Coronaviridae; Nidovirales; positive-sense ssRNA Viruses; ssRNA Viruses; RNA Viruses; viruses; Near East; Arabian Gulf States; SARS-CoV-2; viral infections
Full text:
Available
Collection:
Databases of international organizations
Database:
GIM
Type of study:
Experimental Studies
Language:
English
Journal:
Kuwait Journal of Science
Year:
2021
Document Type:
Article
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