A Time Series Forecast of COVID-19 Infections, Recoveries and Fatalities in Nigeria
Sustainability
; 15(9):7324, 2023.
Article
in English
| ProQuest Central | ID: covidwho-2315576
ABSTRACT
The study investigated COVID-19 pandemic infections, recoveries, and fatalities in Nigeria to forecast future values of infections, recoveries, and fatalities and thus ascertain the extent to which the pandemic appeared to be converging with time. The prediction of COVID-19 infections, recoveries, and fatalities was necessitated by the impact that the pandemic had exerted in world economies since its outbreak in late 2019. The quantitative method was employed, and a longitudinal research design was applied. Data were obtained from the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC). The least-squares test and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) tests were performed to forecast infections, recoveries, and fatalities. The results of the predicted infections for the last five months of the year (August–December 2020) shows that the cases of infections will narrow down within the period. The need for policymakers to implement complete unlocking of the economy for speedy economic recovery was suggested, among others.
Environmental Studies; COVID-19 pandemic; COVID-19 infections in Nigeria; COVID-19 recoveries in Nigeria; COVID-19 fatalities in Nigeria; and COVID-19 convergence in Nigeria; Pandemics; Infections; Forecasting; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; Disease control; COVID-19; Viral diseases; Time series; Forecasting techniques; Fatalities; Error correction & detection; Mortality; Medical research; Variables; Impact analysis; Research design; Literature reviews; Respiratory diseases; Coronaviruses; Disease transmission; China; Nigeria
Full text:
Available
Collection:
Databases of international organizations
Database:
ProQuest Central
Type of study:
Experimental Studies
Language:
English
Journal:
Sustainability
Year:
2023
Document Type:
Article
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