Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19.
Nat Hum Behav
; 4(9): 964-971, 2020 09.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-695170
ABSTRACT
While severe social-distancing measures have proven effective in slowing the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, second-wave scenarios are likely to emerge as restrictions are lifted. Here we integrate anonymized, geolocalized mobility data with census and demographic data to build a detailed agent-based model of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission in the Boston metropolitan area. We find that a period of strict social distancing followed by a robust level of testing, contact-tracing and household quarantine could keep the disease within the capacity of the healthcare system while enabling the reopening of economic activities. Our results show that a response system based on enhanced testing and contact tracing can have a major role in relaxing social-distancing interventions in the absence of herd immunity against SARS-CoV-2.
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Pneumonia, Viral
/
Contact Tracing
/
Infection Control
/
Coronavirus Infections
/
Clinical Laboratory Techniques
/
Pandemics
/
Betacoronavirus
Type of study:
Diagnostic study
/
Experimental Studies
/
Observational study
/
Prognostic study
Limits:
Humans
Country/Region as subject:
North America
Language:
English
Journal:
Nat Hum Behav
Year:
2020
Document Type:
Article
Affiliation country:
S41562-020-0931-9
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