Is it time to talk about the end of social distancing? A joinpoint analysis of COVID-19 time series in Brazilian capitals.
Rev Soc Bras Med Trop
; 53: e20200469, 2020.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-788938
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION:
Monitoring coronavirus disease (COVID-19)-related infections and deaths in Brazil is controversial, with increasing pressure to ease social distance measures. However, no evidence of a sustained, widespread fall in cases exists.METHODS:
We used segmented (joinpoint) regression analysis to describe the behavior of COVID-19 infections in Brazilian capital cities.RESULTS:
All capitals showed an exponential or a near-exponential increase in cases through May. A decline in reported cases was subsequently noted in 20 cities but was only significant for 8 (29.6%) and was followed in two by a renewed increase.CONCLUSIONS:
Caution is warranted when considering the relaxation of restrictions.
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Pneumonia, Viral
/
Social Isolation
/
Communicable Disease Control
/
Coronavirus Infections
/
Pandemics
Type of study:
Experimental Studies
/
Observational study
Limits:
Humans
Country/Region as subject:
South America
/
Brazil
Language:
English
Journal:
Rev Soc Bras Med Trop
Year:
2020
Document Type:
Article
Affiliation country:
0037-8682-0469-2020
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