Change in the ASF entry risk into Japan as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Transbound Emerg Dis
; 68(3): 1700-1703, 2021 May.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-793609
ABSTRACT
Using a model developed previously by the authors, a risk assessment was conducted to predict the change in the risk of ASF entering Japan as a result of the coronavirus pandemic in humans. The monthly probability of ASF entering Japan through illegal importation of pig products from China was calculated to be 4.2% (90% prediction interval 0.0%-24.9%) in January, 0.45% (0%-2.5%) in February, 0.03% (0%-0.2%) in March and 0.0002% (0%-0.001%) in April, 0.00005% (0%-0.0003%) in May and 0.0009% (0%-0.005%) in June 2020 indicating a significant decline in the risk of ASF entry into Japan from China. The decline was attributed to a decrease in the number of air travellers from China and amount of restaurant food waste.
Keywords
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
African Swine Fever
/
SARS-CoV-2
/
COVID-19
Type of study:
Observational study
/
Prognostic study
Limits:
Animals
/
Humans
Country/Region as subject:
Asia
Language:
English
Journal:
Transbound Emerg Dis
Journal subject:
Veterinary Medicine
Year:
2021
Document Type:
Article
Affiliation country:
Tbed.13836
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