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How Can the Epidemic Curve of COVID-19 in Iran Be Interpreted?
Doosti-Irani, Amin; Haghdoost, Ali Akbar; Najafi, Farid; Eybpoosh, Sana; Moradi, Ghobad; Bagheri Amiri, Fahimeh; Mounesan, Leila; Mostafavi, Ehsan.
  • Doosti-Irani A; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Research Center for Health Sciences, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran. a.doosti@umsha.ac.ir.
  • Haghdoost AA; Research Center for Health Sciences, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.
  • Najafi F; Modeling in Health Research Center, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran.
  • Eybpoosh S; Research Center for Environmental Determinants of Health (RCEDH), Health Institute, Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences, Kermanshah, Iran.
  • Moradi G; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Research Centre for Emerging and Reemerging Infectious Diseases, Pasteur Institute of Iran, Tehran, Iran.
  • Bagheri Amiri F; Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran.
  • Mounesan L; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Research Centre for Emerging and Reemerging Infectious Diseases, Pasteur Institute of Iran, Tehran, Iran.
  • Mostafavi E; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Research Centre for Emerging and Reemerging Infectious Diseases, Pasteur Institute of Iran, Tehran, Iran.
J Res Health Sci ; 20(3): e00491, 2020 Oct 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-855106
ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND:

Iran is one of the countries most affected by COVID-19. This review provides possible interpretations of the observed trend of COVID-19 in Iran. STUDY

DESIGN:

A rapid review

METHODS:

We reviewed the daily new cases of COVID-19 based on hospitalized and outpatients, reported deaths, and diagnostic testing in Iran.

RESULTS:

Iran reported its first peak in the number of cases in late March, 2020. From the 1 April to 3 May 2020, the downward trend in the number of cases was started. The death trend also showed a peak in early April as well as a downward trend in late April. During May, the number of death cases showed a stable trend with a daily number of deaths ranging between 50 and 75 cases. Then the number of deaths gradually increased.

CONCLUSION:

The epidemic curve in Iran is a function of different factors such number of total tests, change in mitigation policies, and heterogeneities among different provinces in the country. Therefore it should be interpreted under the light of the effect of such factors.
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Full text: Available Collection: International databases Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Pneumonia, Viral / Coronavirus Infections / Pandemics Type of study: Diagnostic study / Observational study / Prognostic study / Reviews Topics: Long Covid Limits: Humans Country/Region as subject: Asia Language: English Journal: J Res Health Sci Year: 2020 Document Type: Article Affiliation country: Jrhs.2020.27

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Full text: Available Collection: International databases Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Pneumonia, Viral / Coronavirus Infections / Pandemics Type of study: Diagnostic study / Observational study / Prognostic study / Reviews Topics: Long Covid Limits: Humans Country/Region as subject: Asia Language: English Journal: J Res Health Sci Year: 2020 Document Type: Article Affiliation country: Jrhs.2020.27