Coronavirus Disease 2019 Epidemic Doubling Time in the United States Before and During Stay-at-Home Restrictions.
J Infect Dis
; 222(10): 1601-1606, 2020 10 13.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-863296
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread rapidly in the United States since January 2020.METHODS:
We estimated mean epidemic doubling time, an important measure of epidemic growth, nationally, by state, and in association with stay-at-home orders.RESULTS:
The epidemic doubling time in the United States was 2.68 days (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.30-3.24 days) before widespread mitigation efforts, increasing by 460% to 15 days (12.89-17.94 days) during the mitigation phase. Among states without stay-at-home orders, the median increase in doubling time was 60% (95% CI, 9.2-223.3), compared with 269% (95% CI, 277.0-394.0) for states with stay-at-home orders.CONCLUSIONS:
Statewide mitigation strategies were strongly associated with increased epidemic doubling time.Keywords
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Pneumonia, Viral
/
Quarantine
/
Coronavirus Infections
/
Pandemics
/
Epidemiological Monitoring
/
Betacoronavirus
Type of study:
Observational study
Limits:
Humans
Country/Region as subject:
North America
Language:
English
Journal:
J Infect Dis
Year:
2020
Document Type:
Article
Affiliation country:
Infdis
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