Forecasting of COVID-19 infections in E7 countries and proposing some policies based on the Stringency Index.
J Popul Ther Clin Pharmacol
; 27(S Pt 1): e76-e84, 2020.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-884098
ABSTRACT
COVID-19 infection data of Emerging 7 (E7) countries, namely Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, and Turkey were described by an empirical model or a special case of this empirical model. Near-future forecasts were also performed. Moreover, the causalities between the Stringency Index's indicators and total cases in E7 countries in COVID-19 period were examined. Countries were grouped as "stationary," "transition," and "exponential" based on the data and model fits. The proposed models produced good fits to the COVID-19 data of E7 countries and it was possible to predict the number of cases in the near future. Some policies to control total cases in E7 countries were also proposed in the final phase of this study based on the findings and forecasting in these countries.
Keywords
Full text:
Available
Collection:
International databases
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Pneumonia, Viral
/
Coronavirus Infections
/
Developing Countries
Type of study:
Observational study
/
Prognostic study
Limits:
Humans
Language:
English
Journal:
J Popul Ther Clin Pharmacol
Journal subject:
Pharmacology
/
Drug Therapy
Year:
2020
Document Type:
Article
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