COVID-19 Time Series Forecast Using Transmission Rate and Meteorological Parameters as Features
Ieee Computational Intelligence Magazine
; 15(4):34-50, 2020.
Article
in English
| Web of Science | ID: covidwho-900843
ABSTRACT
The number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 has been ever increasing worldwide since its outbreak in Wuhan, China. As such, many researchers have sought to predict the dynamics of the virus spread in different parts of the globe. In this paper, a novel systematic platform for prediction of the future number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 is proposed, based on several factors such as transmission rate, temperature, and humidity. The proposed strategy derives systematically a set of appropriate features for training Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN). To that end, the number of confirmed cases (CC) of COVID-19 in three states of India (Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Gujarat) is taken as a case study. It has been noted that stationary and nonstationary parts of the features improved the prediction of the stationary and non-stationary trends of the number of confirmed cases, respectively. The new platform has general application and can be used for pandemic time series forecasting.
Full text:
Available
Collection:
Databases of international organizations
Database:
Web of Science
Type of study:
Experimental Studies
Language:
English
Journal:
Ieee Computational Intelligence Magazine
Year:
2020
Document Type:
Article
Similar
MEDLINE
...
LILACS
LIS