Social and racial inequalities in COVID-19 risk of hospitalisation and death across Sao Paulo state, Brazil (preprint)

ABSTRACT

BackgroundLittle evidence exists on the differential health effects of COVID-19 on disadvantaged population groups. Here we characterise the differential risk of hospitalisation and death in Sao Paulo state, Brazil and show how vulnerability to COVID-19 is shaped by socioeconomic inequalities. MethodsWe conducted a cross-sectional study using hospitalised severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) notified from March to August 2020, in the Sistema de Monitoramento Inteligente de Sao Paulo (SIMI-SP) database. We examined the risk of hospitalisation and death by race and socioeconomic status using multiple datasets for individual-level and spatio-temporal analyses. We explained these inequalities according to differences in daily mobility from mobile phone data, teleworking behaviour, and comorbidities. FindingsThroughout the study period, patients living in the 40% poorest areas were more likely to die when compared to patients living in the 5% wealthiest areas (OR 1{middle dot}60, 95% CI 1{middle dot}48 - 1{middle dot}74) and were more likely to be hospitalised between April and July, 2020 (OR 1{middle dot}08, 95% CI 1{middle dot}04 - 1{middle dot}12). Black and Pardo individuals were more likely to be hospitalised when compared to White individuals (OR 1{middle dot}37, 95% CI 1{middle dot}32 - 1{middle dot}41; OR 1{middle dot}23, 95% CI 1{middle dot}21 - 1{middle dot}25, respectively), and were more likely to die (OR 1{middle dot}14, 95% CI 1{middle dot}07 - 1{middle dot}21; 1{middle dot}09, 95% CI 1{middle dot}05 - 1{middle dot}13, respectively). InterpretationLow-income and Black and Pardo communities are more likely to die with COVID-19. This is associated with differential access to healthcare, adherence to social distancing, and the higher prevalence of comorbidities. FundingThis project was supported by a Medical Research Council-Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP) CADDE partnership award (MR/S0195/1 and FAPESP 18/14389-0) (http//caddecentre.org/). This work received funding from the U.K. Medical Research Council under a concordat with the U.K. Department for International Development.