Risk factors for severe PCR-positive SARS-CoV-2 infection in hospitalized children: a multicenter cohort study (preprint)

ABSTRACT

Importance Children are less likely than adults to have severe outcomes from SARS-CoV-2 infection and the corresponding risk factors are not well established. Objective: To identify risk factors for severe disease in symptomatic children hospitalized for PCR-positive SARS-CoV-2 infection. Design: Cohort study, enrollment from February 1, 2020 until May 31, 2021 Setting 15 children's hospitals in Canada, Iran, and Costa Rica Participants: Patients <18 years of age hospitalized with symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, including PCR-positive multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) Exposures Variables assessed for their association with disease severity included patient demographics, presence of comorbidities, clinical manifestations, laboratory parameters and chest imaging findings. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was severe disease defined as a WHO COVID-19 clinical progression scale of [≥]6, i.e., requirement of non-invasive ventilation, high flow nasal cannula, mechanical ventilation, vasopressors, or death. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate factors associated with severe disease. Results: We identified 403 hospitalizations. Median age was 3.78 years (IQR 0.53-10.77). At least one comorbidity was present in 46.4% (187/403) and multiple comorbidities in 18.6% (75/403). Severe disease occurred in 33.8% (102/403). In multivariable analyses, presence of multiple comorbidities (adjusted odds ratio 2.24, 95% confidence interval 1.04-4.81), obesity (2.87, 1.19-6.93), neurological disorder (3.22, 1.37-7.56), anemia, and/or hemoglobinopathy (5.88, 1.30-26.46), shortness of breath (4.37, 2.08-9.16), bacterial and/or viral coinfections (2.26, 1.08-4.73), chest imaging compatible with COVID-19 (2.99, 1.51-5.92), neutrophilia (2.60, 1.35-5.02), and MIS-C diagnosis (3.86, 1.56-9.51) were independent risk factors for severity. Comorbidities, especially obesity (40.9% vs 3.9%, p<0.001), were more frequently present in adolescents [≥]12 years of age. Neurological disorder (3.16, 1.19-8.43) in children <12 years of age and obesity (3.21, 1.15-8.93) in adolescents were the specific comorbidities associated with disease severity in age-stratified adjusted analyses. Sensitivity analyses excluding the 81 cases with MIS-C did not substantially change the identified risk factors. Conclusions and Relevance Pediatric risk factors for severe SARS-CoV-2 infection vary according to age and can potentially guide vaccination programs and treatment approaches in children.