Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa (preprint)

Carl Andrew Pearson; Cari Van Schalkwyk; Anna M Foss; Kathleen M O'Reilly; - CMMID COVID-19 working group; - SACEMA 10 Modelling and Analysis Response Team; Juliet R C Pulliam

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Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa (preprint)

Carl Andrew Pearson; Cari Van Schalkwyk; Anna M Foss; Kathleen M O'Reilly; - CMMID COVID-19 working group; - SACEMA 10 Modelling and Analysis Response Team; Juliet R C Pulliam.

medrxiv; 2020.

Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppzbmed-10.1101.2020.04.05.20054403

ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT

For African countries currently reporting COVID-19 cases, we estimate when they will report more than 1 000 and 10 000 cases. Assuming current trends, more than 80% are likely to exceed 1 000 cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceeding 10 000 a few weeks later.

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COVID-19

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Full text: Available Collection: Preprints Database: medRxiv Main subject: COVID-19 Language: English Year: 2020 Document Type: Preprint