The impact of ongoing COVID-19 lockdown on family finances and mental health (preprint)

ABSTRACT

ObjectivesAustralias public health restrictions ( lockdown) in 2020 successfully contained the spread of COVID-19. These included a national initial lockdown (March-May), and ongoing lockdown (July-November) for metropolitan Victorian residents only. Australias experience offers an opportunity to assess impacts of lockdown on families with children, in the relative absence of disease morbidity and mortality. This study (1) described the experience of initial lockdown and (2) evaluated the impact of ongoing lockdown, on family finances and mental health. MethodsData were drawn from the June and September 2020 Royal Childrens Hospital National Child Health Polls. Caregivers of children from the states of Victoria and New South Wales reported on job/income loss; material deprivation (inability to pay for essential items); income-poverty; mental health (Kessler-6); impact on caregiver/child mental health; and caregiver/child coping. Data from N=1207/902 caregivers in June/September were analyzed; Aim (1) with weighted descriptives; Aim (2) with Difference-in-Difference adjusted linear regression models (New South Wales provided the comparator). ResultsFollowing initial lockdown, one-quarter of families reported job/income loss; one-third reported material deprivation. Negative impacts on mental health were reported for half the caregivers and one-third of children. Few caregivers or children had difficulties coping. During Victorias ongoing lockdown, job/income loss increased by 11% (95%CI 3-18%); Kessler-6 poor mental health by 6% (95%CI 0.3-12%) and negative mental health impacts by 12% for caregivers (95%CI 6-23%) and 14% for children (95%CI 4-20%). Female (versus male) caregivers, metropolitan (versus regional/rural) families, and families with elementary school-aged children (versus pre-/high-school) were most affected. ConclusionsOngoing lockdown had negative impacts on mental health, employment, and income, but not deprivation or poverty, likely because of the government income supplements introduced early in the pandemic. Balancing the benefits and harms of lockdown requires planned responses to outbreaks, and evidence-informed financial and mental health supports.