SARS-CoV-2 variants show a gradual declining pathogenicity and pro-inflammatory cytokine stimulation and an increasing antigenic and anti-inflammatory cytokine induction (preprint)

ABSTRACT

Hyper-transmissibility with decreased disease severity are typical characteristics of Omicron variant. To understand this phenomenon, we used various bioinformatics approaches to analyze randomly selected genome sequences (one each) of the Gamma, Delta, and Omicron variants submitted to NCBI from 15 to 31 December 2021. We show that (i) Pathogenicity of SARS-CoV-2 variants decreases in the order Wuhan > Gamma > Delta > Omicron; however, the antigenic property follows the order Omicron > Gamma > Wuhan > Delta. (ii) Omicron Spike RBD has lower pathogenicity but higher antigenicity than that of other variants. (iii) Decreased disease severity by Omicron variant may be due to its decreased pro-inflammatory and IL-6 stimulation and increased IFN-{gamma} and IL-4 induction efficacy. (iv) Mutations in N protein are associated with decreased IL-6 induction and human DDX21-mediated increased IL-4 production in Omicron. (v) Due to mutations, the stability of S, M, N, and E proteins decrease in the order Omicron > Gamma > Delta > Wuhan. (vi) Stronger Spike-hACE2 binding in Omicron is associated with its increased transmissibility. However, the lowest stability of the Omicron Spike protein makes Spike-hACE2 interaction unstable for systemic infection and for causing severe disease. Finally (vii), the highest instability of Omicron E protein may also be associated with decreased viral maturation and low viral load leading to less severe disease and faster recovery. Our method may be used for other similar viruses, and these findings will contribute to the understanding of the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants and the management of emerging variants.