Early emergence phase of SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Florida (preprint)

ABSTRACT

SARS-CoV-2, the causative agent of COVID-19, emerged in late 2020. The highly contagious B.1.617.2 (Delta) Variant of Concern (VOC) was first identified in October 2020 in India and subsequently disseminated worldwide, later becoming the dominant lineage in the U.S. Despite considerable genomic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 in the U.S., several gaps in the understanding of the local dynamics during early introductions remain, which when elucidated could translate the results of viral genomic epidemiology to actionable mitigation efforts. Here, we explore the early emergence of the Delta variant in Florida, U.S. using phylogenetic analysis of representative Florida and globally sampled genomes. We find multiple independent introductions into Florida primarily from North America and Europe, with a minority originating from Asia. These introductions lead to three distinct clades that demonstrated varying relative rates of transmission and possessed five distinct substitutions that were 3-21 times more prevalent in the Florida sample as compared to the global sample. Our results underscore the benefits of routine viral genomic surveillance to monitor epidemic spread and support the need for more comprehensive genomic epidemiology studies of emerging variants. In addition, we provide a model of epidemic spread of newly emerging VOCs that can inform future public health responses.