Association of close-range contact patterns with SARS-CoV-2: a household transmission study (preprint)

ABSTRACT

Background Households are an important location for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission, especially during periods where travel and work was restricted to essential services. We aimed to assess the association of close-range contact patterns with SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Methods We deployed proximity sensors for two weeks to measure face-to-face interactions between household members after SARS-CoV-2 was identified in the household, in South Africa, 2020 - 2021. We calculated duration, frequency and average duration of close range proximity events with SARS-CoV-2 index cases. We assessed the association of contact parameters with SARS-CoV-2 transmission using mixed effects logistic regression accounting for index and household member characteristics. Results We included 340 individuals (88 SARS-CoV-2 index cases and 252 household members). On multivariable analysis, factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 acquisition were index cases with minimum Ct value <30 (aOR 10.2 95%CI 1.4-77.4) vs >35, contacts aged 13-17 years (aOR 7.7 95%CI 1.0-58.2) vs <5 years and female contacts (aOR 2.3 95%CI 1.1-4.8). No contact parameters were associated with acquisition (aOR 1.0 95%CI 1.0-1.0) for all three of duration, frequency and average duration. Conclusion We did not find an association between close-range proximity events and SARS-CoV-2 household transmission. It may be that droplet-mediated transmission during close-proximity contacts play a smaller role than airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the household, due to high contact rates in households or study limitations. Funding Wellcome Trust (Grant number 221003/Z/20/Z) in collaboration with the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, United Kingdom.