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Cost-Effectiveness of Intensive Care for Hospitalized Covid-19 Patients: Experience From South Africa (preprint)
researchsquare; 2020.
Preprint in English | PREPRINT-RESEARCHSQUARE | ID: ppzbmed-10.21203.rs.3.rs-113834.v1
ABSTRACT

Background:

Amidst shortages of critical care capacity in the public sector during the COVID-19 pandemic, the South African government embarked on an initiative to purchase critical bed capacity from the private sector. To inform the decision, we assessed the cost-effectiveness of ICU management for admitted COVID-19 patients across the public and private health systems in South Africa . MethodsUsing a Markov modelling framework and health system perspective, costs and health outcomes of inpatient management of severe and critical COVID-19 patients in (1) general ward and intensive care (GW+ICU) and (2) general ward only were assessed. Disability adjusted life years (DALYs) were evaluated and the cost per admission in public and private sectors was determined. The models made use of four variables mortality rates, utilisation of inpatient days for each management approach, disability weights associated to the severity of the disease, and the unit cost per general ward day and per ICU day in public and private hospitals. Unit costs were multiplied by utilisation estimates to determine the cost per admission. DALYs were calculated as the sum of years of life lost (YLL) and years lived with disability (YLD). An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) - representing the difference in costs and health outcomes of the two management strategies - was compared to a cost-effectiveness threshold to determine the value for money of ICU management.ResultsA cost per admission of ZAR 75,127 was estimated for inpatient management of severe and critical COVID-19 patients in general wards only as opposed to ZAR 103,030 in GW+ICU. DALYs were 1.48 and 1.10 in the general ward only and GW+ICU, respectively. The ratio of difference in costs and health outcomes between the two management strategies produced an ICER equal to ZAR 73,091 per DALY averted, a value above the cost-effectiveness threshold of ZAR 38,465.ConclusionsResults indicated that purchasing ICU capacity from the private sector may not be a cost-effective investment. The ‘real time’, rapid, pragmatic, and transparent nature of this analysis demonstrates an approach for evidence generation for decision making relating to the COVID-19 pandemic response and South Africa’s wider priority setting agenda.
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Full text: Available Collection: Preprints Database: PREPRINT-RESEARCHSQUARE Main subject: COVID-19 Language: English Year: 2020 Document Type: Preprint

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Full text: Available Collection: Preprints Database: PREPRINT-RESEARCHSQUARE Main subject: COVID-19 Language: English Year: 2020 Document Type: Preprint