Association Between Covid-19 and Heart Failure: Evidence From a Two-sample Mendelian Randomization Study (preprint)

ABSTRACT

Background: Current research observing inconsistent associations of Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) with heart failure (HF) are prone to bias based on reverse causality and residual confounding factors. Our aim was to apply a two-sample Mendelian randomization method to investigate whether COVID-19 has a causal effect on HF. Methods: Twenty-nine single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were proposed as candidate instrumental variables (IVs). A total of 3,523 patients with COVID-19 and 36,634 control participants were included in the genome-wide meta-analysis. We analyzed the largest genome-wide association studies (GWAS) meta-analysis of heart failure in individuals of European ancestry consisting of 47,309 patients with HF and 930,014 controls. The inverse variance weighted (IVW), the Mendelian randomization-Egger (MR-Egger) regression, the simple mode (SM), weighted median, and weighted mode were utilized for the MR analysis to test the stability and a causal effect. Results: The IVW, MR-Egger regression, SM, weighted median and weighted mode demonstrated there was no association between the genetically predicted COVID-19 infection and HF risk (OR, 1.004; 95%CI, 0.994-1.014; P=0.467; OR, 1.008; 95%CI, 0.996-1.019; P=0.218; OR, 0.968; 95%CI, 0.924-1.015; P=0.186; OR, 1.001; 95%CI, 0.988-1.014; P=0.881; OR, 1.001; 95%CI, 0.989-1.014; P=0.836; respectively). Conclusion: This two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis provided no evidence to sustain the causality of COVID-19 on HF.