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Convergence to the Equilibrium State in an Outbreak: When Can Growth Rates Accurately be Measured? (preprint)
arxiv; 2023.
Preprint
in English
| PREPRINT-ARXIV | ID: ppzbmed-2302.01076v1
ABSTRACT
We investigate sub-leading orders of the classic SEIR-model using contact matrices from modeling of the Omicron and Delta variants of COVID-19 in Denmark. The goal of this is to illustrate when the growth rate, and by extension the infectiousness, can be accurately measured in a new outbreak, e.g. after introduction of a new variant of a virus. We find that as long as susceptible depletion is a minor effect, the transients are gone within around 4 generations.
Full text:
Available
Collection:
Preprints
Database:
PREPRINT-ARXIV
Main subject:
COVID-19
Language:
English
Year:
2023
Document Type:
Preprint
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