Spatiotemporal transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on critical healthcare capacity.
Health Place
; 64: 102404, 2020 07.
Artículo
en Inglés
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1023586
ABSTRACT
The role of geospatial disparities in the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic is poorly understood. We developed a spatially-explicit mathematical model to simulate transmission dynamics of COVID-19 disease infection in relation with the uneven distribution of the healthcare capacity in Ohio, U.S. The results showed substantial spatial variation in the spread of the disease, with localized areas showing marked differences in disease attack rates. Higher COVID-19 attack rates experienced in some highly connected and urbanized areas (274 cases per 100,000 people) could substantially impact the critical health care response of these areas regardless of their potentially high healthcare capacity compared to more rural and less connected counterparts (85 cases per 100,000). Accounting for the spatially uneven disease diffusion linked to the geographical distribution of the critical care resources is essential in designing effective prevention and control programmes aimed at reducing the impact of COVID-19 pandemic.
Palabras clave
Texto completo:
Disponible
Colección:
Bases de datos internacionales
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Neumonía Viral
/
Infecciones por Coronavirus
/
Pandemias
/
Análisis Espacial
/
Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud
/
Capacidad de Camas en Hospitales
/
Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos
Tipo de estudio:
Estudio experimental
/
Estudio observacional
Límite:
Humanos
País/Región como asunto:
America del Norte
Idioma:
Inglés
Revista:
Health Place
Asunto de la revista:
Epidemiología
/
Salud Pública
Año:
2020
Tipo del documento:
Artículo
Similares
MEDLINE
...
LILACS
LIS