National age and coresidence patterns shape COVID-19 vulnerability.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
; 117(28): 16118-16120, 2020 07 14.
Artículo
en Inglés
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-612671
Preprint
Este artículo de revista científica es probablemente basado en un preprint previamente disponible, por medio del reconocimiento de similitud realizado por una máquina. La confirmación humana aún está pendiente.
Ver preprint
Este artículo de revista científica es probablemente basado en un preprint previamente disponible, por medio del reconocimiento de similitud realizado por una máquina. La confirmación humana aún está pendiente.
Ver preprint
ABSTRACT
Based on harmonized census data from 81 countries, we estimate how age and coresidence patterns shape the vulnerability of countries' populations to outbreaks of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We estimate variation in deaths arising due to a simulated random infection of 10% of the population living in private households and subsequent within-household transmission of the virus. The age structures of European and North American countries increase their vulnerability to COVID-related deaths in general. The coresidence patterns of elderly persons in Africa and parts of Asia increase these countries' vulnerability to deaths induced by within-household transmission of COVID-19. Southern European countries, which have aged populations and relatively high levels of intergenerational coresidence, are, all else equal, the most vulnerable to outbreaks of COVID-19. In a second step, we estimate to what extent avoiding primary infections for specific age groups would prevent subsequent deaths due to within-household transmission of the virus. Preventing primary infections among the elderly is the most effective in countries with small households and little intergenerational coresidence, such as France, whereas confining younger age groups can have a greater impact in countries with large and intergenerational households, such as Bangladesh.
Palabras clave
Texto completo:
Disponible
Colección:
Bases de datos internacionales
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Neumonía Viral
/
Composición Familiar
/
Infecciones por Coronavirus
Tipo de estudio:
Estudio experimental
/
Estudio observacional
/
Estudio pronóstico
/
Ensayo controlado aleatorizado
Límite:
Adolescente
/
Adulto
/
Anciano
/
Niño
/
Child, preschool
/
Humanos
/
Lactante
/
Middle aged
/
Recién Nacido
/
Young_adult
Idioma:
Inglés
Revista:
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Año:
2020
Tipo del documento:
Artículo
Similares
MEDLINE
...
LILACS
LIS