Machine Learning Algorithm for Trend Analysis in Short term Forecasting of COVID-19 using Lung X-ray Images

ABSTRACT

With the development of medical technology, the diagnosis of lung diseases relies more on the determination of medical images. With increasingly huge data, a powerful data processing model is urgently needed to provide favorable support for this field. The goal of this study is to develop a computer-assisted method to identify COVID-19 from X-ray pictures of the lungs at the very beginning of the disease. The architecture is implemented as a software system on a computer that can assist in the affordable and accurate early identification of cardiac illness. The performance of CNN architecture is best among all other classification algorithms to detect COVID-9 from Lung X-ray images. The datasets consist of COVID-19 established cases for 4 weeks which included the X-ray images of the chest. Then the distribution of the data was examined according to the statistical distribution. For this prediction, time series models are used for forecasting the pandemic situation. The performances of the methods were compared according to the MSE metric and it was seen that the Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) achieved the optimal trend pattern.