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Effects of New York's Executive Order on Face Mask Use on COVID-19 Infections and Mortality: A Modeling Study (preprint)
medrxiv; 2020.
Preprint
Dans Anglais
| medRxiv | ID: ppzbmed-10.1101.2020.10.26.20219527
ABSTRACT
Background:
New York City (NYC) was the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. On April 17, 2020, the State of New York implemented an Executive Order that requires all people in New York to wear a face mask or covering in public settings where social distancing cannot be maintained. It is unclear how this Executive Order has affected the spread of COVID-19 in NYC.Methods:
A dynamic compartmental model of COVID-19 transmission among NYC residents was developed to assess the effect of the Executive Order on face mask use on infections and deaths due to COVID-19 in NYC. Data on daily and cumulative COVID-19 infections and deaths were obtained from the NYC Department of Health and Mental Hygiene.Results:
The Executive Order on face mask use is estimated to avert 99,517 (95% CIs 72,723-126,312) COVID-19 infections and 7,978 (5,692-10,265) deaths in NYC. If the Executive Order was implemented one week earlier (on April 10), the averted infections and deaths would be 111,475 (81,593-141,356) and 9,017 (6,446-11,589), respectively. If the Executive Order was implemented two weeks earlier (on April 3 when the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended face mask use), the averted infections and deaths would be 128,598 (94,373-162,824) and 10,515 (7,540-13,489), respectively.Conclusions:
New York's Executive Order on face mask use is projected to have significantly reduced the spread of COVID-19 in NYC. Implementing the Executive Order at an earlier date would avert even more COVID-19 infections and deaths.
Texte intégral:
Disponible
Collection:
Preprints
Base de données:
medRxiv
Sujet Principal:
Dyssomnies
/
Mort
/
COVID-19
langue:
Anglais
Année:
2020
Type de document:
Preprint
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