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Clinical, laboratory, and temporal predictors of neutralizing antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 after COVID-19

Jim Boonyaratanakornkit; Chihiro Morishima; Stacy Selke; Danniel Zamora; Sarah McGuffin; Adrienne E Shapiro; Victoria L Campbell; Christopher L McClurkan; Lichen Jing; Robin Gross; Janie Liang; Elena Postnikova; Steven Mazur; Anu Chaudhary; Marie K Das; Susan L Fink; Andrew Bryan; Alex L Greninger; Keith R Jerome; Michael R Holbrook; Terry B Gernsheimer; Mark H Wener; Anna Wald; David M Koelle.
Preprint en Inglés | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-20207472
BackgroundSARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies may protect from reinfection and disease, providing the rationale for administration of plasma containing SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibodies (nAb) as a treatment for COVID-19. The clinical factors and laboratory assays to streamline plasma donor selection, and the durability of nAb responses, are incompletely understood. MethodsAdults with virologically-documented SARS-CoV-2 infection in a convalescent plasma donor screening program were tested for serum IgG to SARS-CoV-2 spike protein S1 domain, nucleoprotein (NP), and for nAb. ResultsAmongst 250 consecutive persons studied a median of 67 days since symptom onset, 243/250 (97%) were seropositive on one or more assays. Sixty percent of donors had nAb titers [≥]180. Correlates of higher nAb titer included older age (adjusted OR [AOR] 1.03/year of age, 95% CI 1.00-1.06), male sex (AOR 2.08, 95% CI 1.13-3.82), fever during acute illness (AOR 2.73, 95% CI 1.25-5.97), and disease severity represented by hospitalization (AOR 6.59, 95% CI 1.32-32.96). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses of anti-S1 and anti-NP antibody results yielded cutoffs that corresponded well with nAb titers, with the anti-S1 assay being slightly more predictive. NAb titers declined in 37 of 41 paired specimens collected a median of 98 days (range, 77-120) apart (P<0.001). Seven individuals (2.8%) were persistently seronegative and lacked T cell responses. ConclusionsNab titers correlated with COVID-19 severity, age, and sex. Standard commercially available SARS-CoV-2 IgG results can serve as useful surrogates for nAb testing. Functional nAb levels were found to decline and a small proportion of COVID-19 survivors lack adaptive immune responses.