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1.
Int J Radiat Biol ; 98(4): 610-618, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30513229

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This article summarizes the methodology, results, and challenges of the reconstruction of red bone marrow and male breast doses for a 1982-person sub-cohort of ∼114,270 U.S. military veterans who participated in eight atmospheric nuclear weapons tests between 1945 and 1962. These doses are being used in an epidemiological investigation of leukemia and male breast cancer as part of a study of one million U.S. persons to investigate risk from chronic low-dose radiation exposure. METHODS: Previous doses to these veterans had been estimated for compensation and tended to be biased high but newly available documentation made calculating individual doses and uncertainties using detailed exposure scenarios for each veteran possible. The techniques outlined in this report detail the methodology for developing individual scenarios and accounting for bias and uncertainty in dose based on the assumptions made about exposure. RESULTS: Doses to the atomic veterans in this sub-cohort were relatively low, with about two-thirds receiving red bone marrow doses <5 mGy and only four individuals receiving a red bone marrow dose >50 mGy. The average red bone marrow dose for members of the sub-cohort was 5.9 mGy. Doses to male breast were approximately 20% higher than red bone marrow doses. DISCUSSION AND CHALLENGES: Relatively low uncertainty was achieved as a result of our methodology for reconstructing exposures based on knowledge of the individual veterans' locations and activities from military records. Challenges did arise from use of military records to determine probability of participation in specific activities but accounted for in estimates of uncertainty.


Subject(s)
Nuclear Weapons , Veterans , Cohort Studies , Humans , Male , Radiation Dosage , Radiometry/methods
2.
Int J Radiat Biol ; 98(4): 781-785, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30513236

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The United States (U.S.) conducted 230 above-ground atmospheric nuclear weapons tests between 1945 and 1962 involving over 250,000 military personnel. This is the first quantitative assessment of asbestos-related mesothelioma, including cancers of the pleura and peritoneum, among military personnel who participated in above-ground nuclear weapons testing. METHODS: Approximately 114,000 atomic veterans were selected for an epidemiological study because they were in one of eight series of weapons tests that were associated with somewhat higher personnel exposures than the other tests and because they have been previously studied. We were able to categorize specific jobs into potential for asbestos exposure based on a detailed database of the military activities of the atomic veterans. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated by service, rank (officer/enlisted) and ratings (occupation code and work location aboard ship) after 65 years of follow-up. RESULTS: Mesothelioma deaths were significantly increased overall (SMR 1.56; 95% CI 1.32-1.82; n = 153). This increase was seen only among those serving in the PPG (SMR 1.97; 95% CI 1.65-2.34; n = 134), enlisted men (SMR 1.81; 95% CI 1.53-2.13; n = 145), and the 70,309 navy personnel (SMR 2.15; 95% CI 1.80-2.56; n = 130). No increased mortality rates were seen among the other services: army (SMR 0.45), air force (SMR 0.85), or marines (SMR 0.75). Job categories with the highest potential for asbestos exposure (machinist's mates, boiler technicians, water tender, pipe fitters, and fireman) had an of SMR 6.47. Job categories with lower potential (SMR =1.35) or no potential (SMR =1.28) for asbestos exposure had non-significantly elevated mesothelioma mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The large excess of mesothelioma deaths seen among atomic veterans was explained by asbestos exposure among enlisted naval personnel. The sources of exposure were determined to be on navy ships in areas (or with materials) with known asbestos content. No excess of mesothelioma was observed in other services or among naval personnel with minimal exposure to asbestos in this low-dose radiation exposed cohort.


Subject(s)
Asbestos , Lung Neoplasms , Mesothelioma , Occupational Diseases , Occupational Exposure , Veterans , Asbestos/adverse effects , Cohort Studies , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/etiology , Male , Mesothelioma/complications , Occupational Diseases/etiology , Occupational Exposure/adverse effects
3.
Radiat Res ; 187(2): 221-228, 2017 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28135126

ABSTRACT

Both red bone marrow and male breast doses with associated uncertainty have been reconstructed for a 1,982-person subset of a cohort of 114, 270 military personnel (referred to as "atomic veterans") who participated in U.S. atmospheric nuclear weapons testing from 1945 to 1962. The methods used to calculate these doses and corresponding uncertainty have been reported in detail by Till et al. in an earlier publication. In this current article we report the final results of those calculations. These doses are being used in a case-cohort design epidemiological investigation of leukemia and male breast cancer. This cohort of atomic veterans is one component in a broader-scope study of approximately one million U.S. persons designed to investigate risk from chronic low-dose radiation exposure. Doses to the atomic veterans in this sub-cohort were relatively low, with approximately two-thirds receiving red bone marrow doses <5 mGy and only four individuals receiving a red bone marrow dose >50 mGy. The average red bone marrow dose for members of the sub-cohort was 5.9 mGy. Doses to male breast were approximately 20% higher than red bone marrow doses. The uncertainty in the estimated doses was relatively low, considering relevant personnel dosimetry was available for only about 25% of the subjects, and most of the doses were reconstructed from film badges worn by co-workers or from the individual's military record and military unit activities. The average coefficient of variation for the individual dose estimates was approximately 0.5, comparable to the uncertainty in doses estimated for the Japanese A-bomb survivors. Although the reconstructed red bone marrow doses were about 36% lower on average than the conservative doses previously estimated by the military for compensation, the overall correlation was quite good, suggesting that the estimates of doses from external exposure by the military for all ∼115,000 cohort members could be adjusted appropriately and used in further epidemiological analyses.


Subject(s)
Bone Marrow/radiation effects , Breast/radiation effects , Military Personnel , Occupational Exposure/analysis , Radiation Dosage , Humans , Male , Neoplasms, Radiation-Induced/etiology , Radiometry
4.
Radiat Res ; 181(5): 471-84, 2014 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24758578

ABSTRACT

Methods were developed to calculate individual estimates of exposure and dose with associated uncertainties for a sub-cohort (1,857) of 115,329 military veterans who participated in at least one of seven series of atmospheric nuclear weapons tests or the TRINITY shot carried out by the United States. The tests were conducted at the Pacific Proving Grounds and the Nevada Test Site. Dose estimates to specific organs will be used in an epidemiological study to investigate leukemia and male breast cancer. Previous doses had been estimated for the purpose of compensation and were generally high-sided to favor the veteran's claim for compensation in accordance with public law. Recent efforts by the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) to digitize the historical records supporting the veterans' compensation assessments make it possible to calculate doses and associated uncertainties. Our approach builds upon available film badge dosimetry and other measurement data recorded at the time of the tests and incorporates detailed scenarios of exposure for each veteran based on personal, unit, and other available historical records. Film badge results were available for approximately 25% of the individuals, and these results assisted greatly in reconstructing doses to unbadged persons and in developing distributions of dose among military units. This article presents the methodology developed to estimate doses for selected cancer cases and a 1% random sample of the total cohort of veterans under study.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms, Male/epidemiology , Film Dosimetry/statistics & numerical data , Leukemia, Radiation-Induced/epidemiology , Neoplasms, Radiation-Induced/epidemiology , Nuclear Weapons , Occupational Diseases/epidemiology , Radiation Dosage , Radioactive Fallout/adverse effects , Uncertainty , Veterans , Adult , Breast Neoplasms, Male/etiology , Cohort Studies , Disease Susceptibility , Dose-Response Relationship, Radiation , Humans , Leukemia, Radiation-Induced/etiology , Male , Models, Theoretical , Neoplasms, Radiation-Induced/etiology , Occupational Diseases/etiology , Pacific Islands , Risk Assessment/methods , United States/epidemiology , Veterans Health/legislation & jurisprudence , Workers' Compensation/legislation & jurisprudence
5.
J Expo Anal Environ Epidemiol ; 12(5): 355-72, 2002 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12198584

ABSTRACT

This paper summarizes the methods and results of estimating risks of cancer incidence resulting from plutonium, carbon tetrachloride, and beryllium releases from operations at the Rocky Flats Environmental Technology Site, near Denver, Colorado, from 1953 through 1989. The key findings show that people who lived near the facility were exposed to plutonium mainly through inhalation during routine operations, from a major fire in 1957, and from plutonium resuspended from contaminated soil from an outdoor drum storage area, called the 903 Area. Results were presented for five exposure scenarios that were location-independent. Individuals described by the laborer scenario received the highest risk of all scenarios considered. Upper bound (95th percentile) incremental lifetime cancer incidence risks for the laborer scenario were in about the 10(-4) range (1 chance in 10,000) for developing cancer from Rocky Flats plutonium releases during a lifetime. At the 5th percentile level, the maximum cancer risk was about 10(-7) (1 chance in 10 million) for developing cancer during a lifetime. Estimated cancer risks at the 95th percentile level are within the range of for acceptable risks established by the US Environmental Protection Agency of 10(-6) to 10(-4). Carbon tetrachloride was found to be the chemical that presented the highest risk to the public. The 5th and 95th percentile risk values for exposure to carbon tetrachloride were 9.2x10(-7) and 2.5x10(-5), respectively.


Subject(s)
Beryllium/adverse effects , Carbon Tetrachloride/adverse effects , Environmental Exposure , Inhalation Exposure , Neoplasms/etiology , Nuclear Warfare , Plutonium/adverse effects , Public Health , Solvents/adverse effects , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Beryllium/analysis , Carbon Tetrachloride/analysis , Child , Child, Preschool , Colorado/epidemiology , Environmental Monitoring , Epidemiological Monitoring , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Plutonium/analysis , Risk Assessment , Solvents/analysis
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