Predicting the risk of mortality and rehospitalization in heart failure patients: A retrospective cohort study by machine learning approach.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is a global problem, affecting more than 26 million people worldwide. This study evaluated the performance of 10 machine learning (ML) algorithms and chose the best algorithm to predict mortality and readmission of HF patients by using The Fasa Registry on Systolic HF (FaRSH) database. HYPOTHESIS: ML algorithms may better identify patients at increased risk of HF readmission or death with demographic and clinical data. METHODS: Through comprehensive evaluation, the best-performing model was used for prediction. Finally, all the trained models were applied to the test data, which included 20% of the total data. For the final evaluation and comparison of the models, five metrics were used: accuracy, F1-score, sensitivity, specificity and Area Under Curve (AUC). RESULTS: Ten ML algorithms were evaluated. The CatBoost (CAT) algorithm uses a series of decision tree models to create a nonlinear model, and this CAT algorithm performed the best of the 10 models studied. According to the three final outcomes from this study, which involved 2488 participants, 366 (14.7%) of the patients were readmitted to the hospital, 97 (3.9%) of the patients died within 1 month of the follow-up, and 342 (13.7%) of the patients died within 1 year of the follow-up. The most significant variables to predict the events were length of stay in the hospital, hemoglobin level, and family history of MI. CONCLUSIONS: The ML-based risk stratification tool was able to assess the risk of 5-year all-cause mortality and readmission in patients with HF. ML could provide an explicit explanation of individualized risk prediction and give physicians an intuitive understanding of the influence of critical features in the model.

Association of Lipoprotein(a) Levels With Myocardial Fibrosis in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Lipoprotein(a) (Lp[a]) has been identified as an emerging risk factor for adverse cardiovascular (CV) outcomes, including heart failure. However, the connections among Lp(a), myocardial fibrosis (interstitial and replacement), and cardiac remodeling as pathways to CV diseases remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: This study investigated the relationship between Lp(a) levels and myocardial fibrosis by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) T1 mapping and late gadolinium enhancement, as well as cardiac remodeling by cine CMR, in the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) cohort. METHODS: The study included 2,040 participants with baseline Lp(a) measurements and T1 mapping for interstitial myocardial fibrosis (IMF) evaluation in 2010. Lp(a) was analyzed as a continuous variable (per log unit) and using clinical cutoff values of 30 and 50 mg/dL. Multivariate linear and logistic regression were used to assess the associations of Lp(a) with CMR measures of extracellular volume (ECV fraction [ECV%]), native T1 time, and myocardial scar, as well as parameters of cardiac remodeling, in 2,826 participants. RESULTS: Higher Lp(a) levels were associated with increased ECV% (per log-unit Lp[a]; ß = 0.2%; P = 0.007) and native T1 time (per log-unit Lp[a]; ß = 4%; P < 0.001). Similar relationships were observed between elevated Lp(a) levels and a higher risk of clinically significant IMF defined by prognostic thresholds per log-unit Lp(a) of ECV% (OR: 1.20; 95% CI: 1.04-1.43) and native T1 (OR: 1.2; 95% CI: 1.1-1.4) equal to 30% and 955 ms, respectively. Clinically used Lp(a) cutoffs (30 and 50 mg/dL) were associated with greater prevalence of myocardial scar (OR: 1.85; 95% CI: 1.1-3.2 and OR: 1.9; 95% CI: 1.1-3.4, respectively). Finally, higher Lp(a) levels were associated with left atrial enlargement and dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated Lp(a) levels are linked to greater subclinical IMF, increased myocardial scar prevalence, and left atrial remodeling.

Higher HDL cholesterol levels are associated with increased markers of interstitial myocardial fibrosis in the MultiEthnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

Emerging research indicates that high HDL-C levels might not be cardioprotective, potentially worsening cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes. Yet, there is no data on HDL-C's association with other CVD risk factors like myocardial fibrosis, a key aspect of cardiac remodeling predicting negative outcomes. We therefore aimed to study the association between HDL-C levels with interstitial myocardial fibrosis (IMF) and myocardial scar measured by CMR T1-mapping and late-gadolinium enhancement (LGE), respectively. There were 1863 participants (mean age of 69 years) who had both serum HDL-C measurements and underwent CMR. Analysis was done among those with available indices of interstitial fibrosis (extracellular volume fraction [ECV]; N = 1172 and native-T1; N = 1863) and replacement fibrosis by LGE (N = 1172). HDL-C was analyzed as both logarithmically-transformed and categorized into < 40 (low),40-59 (normal), and ≥ 60mg/dL (high). Multivariable linear and logistic regression models were constructed to assess the associations of HDL-C with CMR-obtained measures of IMF, ECV% and native-T1 time, and myocardial scar, respectively. In the fully adjusted model, each 1-SD increment of log HDL-C was associated with a 1% increment in ECV% (p = 0.01) and an 18-ms increment in native-T1 (p < 0.001). When stratified by HDL-C categories, those with high HDL-C (≥ 60mg/dL) had significantly higher ECV (ß = 0.5%, p = 0.01) and native-T1 (ß = 7 ms, p = 0.01) compared with those with normal HDL-C levels. Those with low HDL-C were not associated with IMF. Results remained unchanged after excluding individuals with a history of myocardial infarction. Neither increasing levels of HDL-C nor any HDL-C category was associated with the prevalence of myocardial scar. Increasing levels of HDL-C were associated with increased markers of IMF, with those with high levels of HDL-C being linked to subclinical fibrosis in a community-based setting.

Higher HDL Cholesterol Levels Are Associated with Increased Markers of Interstitial Myocardial Fibrosis: Insights from The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

Background: Emerging research indicates that high HDL-C levels might not be cardioprotective, potentially worsening cardiovascular disease(CVD)outcomes. Yet, there's no data on HDL-C's association with other CVD risk factors like myocardial fibrosis, a key aspect of cardiac remodeling predicting negative outcomes. We therefore aimed to study the association between HDL-C levels with interstitial myocardial fibrosis (IMF) and myocardial scar measured by CMR T1-mapping and late-gadolinium enhancement(LGE), respectively. Methods: There were 1,863 participants (mean age of 69-years) who had both serum HDL-C measurements and underwent CMR. Analysis was done among those with available indices of interstitial fibrosis (extracellular volume fraction[ECV];N=1,172 and native-T1;N=1,863) and replacement fibrosis by LGE(N=1,172). HDL-C was analyzed as both logarithmically-transformed and categorized into <40 (low), 40-59 (normal), and ≥60mg/dL (high). Multivariable linear and logistic regression models were constructed to assess the associations of HDL-C with CMR-obtained measures of IMF, ECV% and native-T1 time, and myocardial scar, respectively. Results: In the fully adjusted model, each 1-SD increment of log HDL-C was associated with a 1% increment in ECV%(p=0.01) and an 18-ms increment in native-T1(p<0.001). When stratified by HDL-C categories, those with high HDL-C(≥60mg/dL) had significantly higher ECV(ß=0.5%,p=0.01) and native-T1(ß =7ms,p=0.01) compared with those with normal HDL-C levels. Those with low HDL-C were not associated with IMF. Results remained unchanged after excluding individuals with a history of myocardial infarction. Neither increasing levels of HDL-C nor any HDL-C category was associated with the prevalence of myocardial scar. Conclusions: Increasing levels of HDL-C were associated with increased markers of IMF, with those with high levels of HDL-C being linked to subclinical fibrosis in a community-based setting.

The association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and corrected QT interval prolongation among generally healthy Iranian population: Fasa Cohort Study (FACS).

BACKGROUND: There are limited studies about the association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and corrected QT interval (QTc) prolongation worldwide. HYPOTHESIS: Therefore, we designed the current study to determine this association in a large cohort of a generally healthy population. METHODS: We analyzed the data of 4603 individuals aged 35-70 who participated in the Fasa Cohort Study (FACS). Based on 12-lead electrocardiograms, QT intervals were calculated and corrected by Bazzet's formula. A QTc interval of more than 430 ms in men and 450 ms in women was considered prolonged. The Fatty Liver Index was used to identify the participants with NAFLD. RESULTS: Of all participants, 1550 (33.6%) met the NAFLD criteria. In subjects of both genders with NAFLD, the mean values of the QTc interval were considerably higher than in those without NAFLD (p < .001). After adjusting for a wide range of confounders, including age, gender, smoking status, physical activity, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol levels, diabetes, and hypertension status, in linear regression analysis, the standardized ß coefficient of QTc interval among participants with NAFLD was 2.56 ms (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.49-4.64). After controlling the same confounders, the odds ratio of NAFLD for a prolonged QTc interval in men was 1.47 (95% CI: 1.18-1.84; p < .001) and in women was 1.39 (95% CI: 1.15-1.68; p < .001) using logistic regression analysis. CONCLUSIONS: NAFLD was a risk factor for QTc interval prolongation. Awareness about the risk of NAFLD in increasing the potential cardiac arrhythmias should be raised to lower cardiac mortality.

Effects of Melatonin on Cardiac Injury and Inflammatory Biomarkers in Patients Undergoing Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery: a Meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The antiinflammatory and antioxidative effects of melatonin have been established in recent years. Several studies indicate that oxidative stress and inflammation are key drivers of post-coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery complications. In the present study, we aimed to investigate the effects of melatonin on cardiac injury and inflammatory biomarkers in CABG candidates. METHODS: Embase, Medline/PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and the Cochrane library were searched up to 5 June 2022. All randomized controlled trials examining cardiac injury and inflammatory biomarkers of CABG patients who received melatonin were included. The random-effects model was utilized to perform the analysis. RESULTS: A total of 947 citations were retrieved through database searches. Finally, five articles (six trials with 342 patients) were included after the screening. Melatonin supplementation led to a significant reduction in cardiac troponin I (CTnI) [weighted mean difference(WMD): -2.28 ng/ml; 95% CI -2.87, -1.69; P < 0.01; I2: 91.25%] and high sensitivity-C reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels (WMD: -0.62 mg/L; 95% CI -0.73, -0.5; P < 0.01; I2: 99.98%) in patients undergoing CABG surgery. We found a nonsignificant decrease in creatine kinase isoenzyme muscle/brain (CK-MB) levels (WMD: -2.87 ng/ml; 95% CI -5.97, 0.23; P = 0.07; I2: 99.98%) after melatonin supplementation. No publication bias was found according to Egger's test. CONCLUSION: Melatonin supplementation may be useful in reducing cardiac injury and inflammatory biomarkers in CABG candidates. Future studies should investigate the clinical significance of these findings.

Vascular aneurysms in Ehlers-Danlos syndrome subtypes: A systematic review.

Aneurysmal lesions are commonly seen in Ehlers-Danlos Syndrome (EDS). To better identify the regional and vessel-specific spectrum of aneurysms in different subtypes of EDS, we performed a systematic review. We searched Medline for relevant studies from 1963 to April 2022. Studies providing a report of any EDS subtype by genetic diagnosis, histologic analysis, or clinical criteria were included. A total of 448 patients from 220 studies were included. 720 vessel-specific aneurysms were reported: 386 in the abdominopelvic area, 165 in the intracranial region, 98 in the thorax, 2 in the extremities, and 6 in the venous system. In 27 out of the 65 patients with ruptured aneurysms, the ruptured aneurysm was the initial presentation. Multiple aneurysms were present in 163 out of 249 patients who had been systematically evaluated for other locations of aneurysms. The head and neck and abdominopelvic regions are two potential foci for aneurysm formation in patients with EDS. The aneurysm development in EDS is not confined to arteries; the venous system and cardiac septa may also be affected. Many patients develop multiple aneurysms, either at the time of the initial presentation or throughout their lifetime and aneurysm formation or rupture may be the first presentation of EDS.

Inequity and disparities mar existing global research evidence on Long COVID.

Since the pandemic began in December 2019, SARS-Cov2 has accentuated the wide gap and disparities in socioeconomic and healthcare access at individual, community, country, and regional levels. More than two years into the current pandemic, up to three-fourths of the patients are reporting continued signs and symptoms beyond the acute phase of COVID-19, and Long COVID portends to be a major challenge in the future ahead. With a comprehensive overview of the literature, we found that most studies concerning long COVID came from high and upper-middle income countries, and people of low-income and lower-and-middle income regions and vulnerable groups with comorbid conditions have been neglected. Apart from the level of income, there is a significant geographical heterogeneity in investigating the Post-Acute Sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) or what we call now, long COVID. We believe that these recognizing health disparities is crucial from equity perspective and is the first step toward global health promotion.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and dairy products consumption: Results from FASA Persian cohort study.

Background/objectives: There are limited data on the association between dairy products consumption and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This study was conducted to evaluate the association between total intake of different dairy products and fatty liver index (FLI), a marker of subclinical fatty liver. Methods: A total of 7,540 adults were included in this population-based cohort study. Dairy products consumption was evaluated by a validated interview questionnaire for food intake frequency. The FLI was calculated using the standard formula. Liver enzyme levels, lipid profiles, glycemic profiles and demographic characteristics were recorded for all participants. Univariate and multiple logistic regression models were used to respectively assess the mean percentage difference of mean FLI and odds ratios (ORs) for subclinical NAFLD across quantiles of dairy consumption. Results: The mean age of all participants was 48.81 ± 9.631 years. FLI measurements for men and women were 26.71 ± 23.39 and 39.99 ± 26.64 respectively, which was significantly higher in women (P < 0.05). Multiple logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the amount of milk consumption was an independent preventive predictor of FLI (OR = 0.96; 95% CI: 0.94-0.99), conversely, it did not predict higher levels of liver enzymes. In term of cheese intake, participants in the third tertile of cheese intake had significantly lower FLI than lower tertiles (P = 0.01). However, there wasn't any significant association between cheese intake and the odds of FLI in the multivariate model (P > 0.05). We didn't find any significant association between yogurt consumption and NAFLD indicators (P > 0.05). Conclusion: Higher milk consumption was inversely associated with FLI. However, there wasn't any significant association between other types of dairy products and NAFLD indicators.

Zinc and Kidney Disease: A Review.

Zinc is the second most abundant essential trace element in the human body with important regulatory functions in cellular and subcellular levels in several tissues. Zinc deficiency is associated with the development and progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and its complications. With the progression of CKD to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and initiation of dialysis, zinc is further removed from the body, potentiating the zinc deficiency. Dietary intake plays a major role in zinc-deficiency-related risks and progression of CKD. By taking into account the evidence from clinical studies depicting the mutual correlations between zinc and CKD, and the plausibility based on animal studies, it can be deduced that zinc deficiency has a causative role in CKD and its progression. This review highlights the role of zinc deficiency in kidney disease and the possible indication for supplementation of zinc at various stages of CKD.  DOI: 10.52547/ijkd.6702.

Effect of coarctation of aorta anatomy and balloon profile on the outcome of balloon angioplasty in infantile coarctation.

OBJECTIVE: Coarctation of the Aorta (CoA) is a relatively common cardiovascular disorder. The present study aimed to evaluate the effect of COA anatomy and high versus low-pressure balloons on the outcome of balloon angioplasty among neonates and infants. METHODS: In this retrospective study, the neonates and infants undergoing balloon angioplasty at Namazi hospital were enrolled. After balloon angioplasty, immediate data results were promptly recorded.Moreover, midterm echocardiographic information was collected via electronic cardiac records of pediatric wards and clinical and echocardiographic data at least 12 months after balloon angioplasty. Finally, data were analyzed using SPSS-20. RESULTS: In this study, 42 infants were included. The median age at the time of balloon angioplasty was 1.55 (range 0.1-12) months and 66.7% of the patients were male. The mean pressure gradient of coarctation was 38.49 ± 24.97 mmHg, which decreased to 7.61 ± 8.00 mmHg (P < 0.001). A high-pressure balloon was used in 27, and a low-pressure balloon was used in 15 patients. COA's pressure gradient changed 30.89 ± 18.06 in the high-pressure group and 24.53 ± 20.79 in the low-pressure balloon group (P = 0.282). In the high-pressure balloon group, 14.81% and in the low-pressure group, 33.33% had recoarctation and need second balloon angioplasty (p < 0.021). The infant with discrete coarctation had a higher decrease in gradient and lower recoarctation. CONCLUSION: Recoarctation rate was lower in the high-pressure balloon. The infant with discrete COA had a better response to the balloon with more decrease in gradient and lower recoarctation rate. Therefore, the stenotic segment anatomy needs to be considered in the selection of treatment methods.

Long COVID, a comprehensive systematic scoping review.

PURPOSE: To find out what is known from literature about Long COVID until January 30, 2021. METHODS: We undertook a four-step search with no language restriction. A preliminary search was made to identify the keywords. A search strategy of all electronic databases resulted in 66 eligible studies. A forward and backward search of the references and citations resulted in additional 54 publications. Non-English language articles were translated using Google Translate. We conducted our scoping review based on the PRISMA-ScR Checklist. RESULTS: Of 120 papers, we found only one randomized clinical trial. Of the 67 original studies, 22 were cohort, and 28 were cross-sectional studies. Of the total 120 publications, 49.1% focused on signs and symptoms, 23.3% on management, and 10.8% on pathophysiology. Ten publications focused on imaging studies. The results are also presented extensively in a narrative synthesis in separated sections (nomenclature, diagnosis, pathophysiology, risk factors, signs/symptoms, management). CONCLUSIONS: The controversies in its definition have impaired proper recognition and management. The predominant symptoms were: fatigue, breathlessness, arthralgia, sleep difficulties, and chest pain. Recent reports also point to the risk of long-term sequela with cutaneous, respiratory, cardiovascular, musculoskeletal, mental health, neurologic, and renal involvement in those who survive the acute phase of the illness.